Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.541854 7.166234 7.840607 8.625928 9.518858 10.506711 11.687965
2026-02-08 5.591290 6.404544 7.337251 8.495640 9.909079 11.595173 13.785416
2026-02-15 4.985049 5.879748 6.947602 8.333373 10.110045 12.348093 15.441191
2026-02-22 4.587548 5.539293 6.712459 8.291022 10.400980 13.186626 17.253882
2026-03-01 4.179132 5.138026 6.349924 8.027761 10.346529 13.527541 18.390438
2026-03-08 3.796018 4.734307 5.944066 7.657979 10.092276 13.540142 19.020759
2026-03-15 3.554017 4.494823 5.731802 7.524768 10.142222 13.972081 20.311520
2026-03-22 3.590778 4.625763 6.022388 8.109890 11.273625 16.116679 24.607961
2026-03-29 3.488850 4.557526 6.028416 8.279597 11.792891 17.368208 27.613599
2026-04-05 3.292659 4.344720 5.813658 8.101169 11.749522 17.697898 29.029282
2026-04-12 3.196584 4.267263 5.787293 8.202917 12.155886 18.813430 32.065634
2026-04-19 3.044214 4.099829 5.617585 8.067483 12.157239 19.222977 33.791118
2026-04-26 2.907586 3.952830 5.476216 7.976927 12.243147 19.823845 36.082564
2026-05-03 2.774812 3.805057 5.325495 7.860682 12.274686 20.330040 38.277890
2026-05-10 2.645823 3.656224 5.164166 7.714160 12.236835 20.695330 40.224616
2026-05-17 2.552145 3.556010 5.072346 7.675925 12.387896 21.442373 43.201498
2026-05-24 2.420505 3.391770 4.871087 7.438081 12.149863 21.378669 44.202176
2026-05-31 2.276411 3.202760 4.622042 7.103574 11.705022 20.843561 43.924645
2026-06-07 2.187300 3.095803 4.499996 6.982945 11.657555 21.137483 45.862261
2026-06-14 2.237122 3.208101 4.738162 7.512307 12.916855 24.412921 56.735843
2026-06-21 2.208635 3.194213 4.766914 7.665608 13.442554 26.133777 63.732456
2026-06-28 2.122743 3.084452 4.629820 7.504427 13.307193 26.291784 65.945439
2026-07-05 2.087750 3.055850 4.628520 7.596354 13.709663 27.796594 72.991844